A Vancouver residential street where an older detached house sits beside a newly completed three-storey multiplex with individual ground-level entries, the density that remains legal after Council rejected the Villages Plan
Investment Analysis

Stop Pricing Density That Is Not Coming to Your Lot

8 min read

Council voted 10 to 1 against the Villages Plan on July 28, 2026, removing four, six and eight storeys from 13,260 parcels. R1-1 is what is left, and it has been law since October 17, 2023. What that does to land pricing, and how to underwrite a Vancouver lot now.

Key takeaway

An investment analysis of what Vancouver City Council's July 28, 2026 rejection of the Villages Plan (a 10 to 1 vote, with only OneCity councillor Lucy Maloney in support) means for land pricing and multiplex underwriting.

The Villages Plan came out of an 18-month, three-phase City planning process covering 17 village areas and 13,260 land parcels, about 14 percent of all parcels in Vancouver, proposing low-rise residential and mixed-use buildings of four and six storeys, and eight near transit, plus roughly 1 million square feet of new retail. The public hearing ran July 14, 20 and 22, 2026, drawing more than 340 registered speakers and about 3,000 pieces of correspondence, overwhelmingly opposed. One measure passed the same meeting: Space Efficient Stairs, permitting single-exit stairwell layouts in 4 to 6 storey residential buildings in multi-family and commercial zones where that height was already allowed, plus floor space ratio increases in R-3 districts. The article's core argument is that proposed-but-unadopted zoning inflates seller price expectations, so removing it returns the basis of negotiation to zoning in force: Vancouver's R1-1 zone, enacted October 17, 2023, which allows 3 to 6 strata units or up to 8 secured rental units on a single lot with no rezoning, and provincial Bill 44 SSMUH floors of 3 units under 280 square metres, 4 units at 280 square metres or larger, and up to 6 units within 400 metres of frequent transit. It stresses that legal density is not automatic density: frontage, lot area, transit distance, protected trees, peat soils, servicing capacity, and city fees decide the achievable unit count.

On capital allocation, the rejected plan would have created a second destination for small and mid-sized development capital; that pipeline is delayed, while the multiplex path has become more usable, with City of Vancouver reporting on June 9, 2026 that development permit processing for multi-family and mid-rise homes fell 46 percent from 18.1 months in 2023 to 9.8 months in 2025, and that its streamlined multiplex stream halved multiplex permit processing time. VanPlex tracks more than 600 Vancouver multiplex applications. The article flags Council Members' Motion 9 (approved May 20, 2026), which directs an expedited review of R1-1 massing, setbacks and tree canopy, as a 2027 risk for marginal lots that only work at the maximum envelope. It closes with a five-step underwriting discipline and Investor Intelligence Principle #5: when future density is delayed, value concentrates in what is already legal, financeable and buildable.

What this covers

  • Villages Plan rejected 10 to 1 on July 28 2026, 13,260 parcels affected
  • unadopted zoning inflates seller price expectations
  • R1-1 allows 3 to 6 strata units or up to 8 secured rental units, no rezoning
  • legal density is not automatic density: frontage, trees, soils, servicing
  • Vancouver development permit times fell from 18.1 months in 2023 to 9.8 months in 2025
  • Motion 9 R1-1 review is a 2027 risk for marginal lots
multiplex vancouver land-value underwriting villages-plan r1-1

On July 28, 2026, Vancouver City Council voted 10 to 1 against the Villages Plan. That single vote removed the prospect of four, six, and near transit eight storeys from 13,260 parcels, roughly 14 percent of every parcel in the city. If you were valuing a Vancouver lot on that future, the future is gone. What is left on those lots, and on the rest of the city’s house lots, is R1-1. R1-1 has been law since October 17, 2023.

What actually died on July 28

The Villages Plan came out of an 18-month, three-phase City planning process aimed at 17 pockets of the city, mostly existing house neighbourhoods clustered around small shopping streets. It would have allowed low-rise residential and mixed-use buildings of four and six storeys, and eight near transit, plus about 1 million sq ft of new retail and restaurant space. It covered 13,260 land parcels.

The public hearing ran across July 14, 20 and 22. More than 340 people registered to speak, and the City received roughly 3,000 pieces of correspondence, overwhelmingly opposed. Six days later Council voted it down 10 to 1.

One piece of the package did pass. Council approved Space Efficient Stairs, which permits single-exit stairwell layouts in 4 to 6 storey residential buildings in the multi-family and commercial zones where those heights are already allowed, together with floor space ratio increases in R-3 districts. For anyone who builds small apartment buildings on narrow lots, that is a real and quiet win. We wrote about why the single-stair rule matters for small buildings when BC first changed the code.

Timeline of the Vancouver Villages Plan from an 18-month three-phase planning process through the July 14 to 22, 2026 public hearing with 340-plus speakers, to the July 28, 2026 rejection by a 10 to 1 vote and the Space Efficient Stairs approval the same day

Why a rejected plan still changes what a lot is worth

Zoning that has not been adopted still moves prices, because sellers price the version of their property they hope to have. Once a city signals that a neighbourhood might carry six or eight storeys, some owners in that area stop thinking about the house they own and start thinking about the apartment site they might become. Asking prices drift upward to reflect it. Buyers who want to build something today end up bidding against a number that has no permit behind it.

Council just took that number away for 13,260 parcels. There is no live application, no draft bylaw, and no staff report to point at. A future Council could revive the idea, but that would mean a new plan, a new public process, and new zoning. On the calendar that is years, not months, and the civic election on October 17, 2026 makes the near-term politics worse, not better.

So the honest question a buyer should ask a seller changed. It is no longer “what might this be zoned?” It is “what does R1-1 allow here, and what does it cost to build it?”

Priced on hoped-for zoningPriced on zoning in force
Value based on a plan Council has not adoptedValue based on R1-1, enacted October 17, 2023
Assumes a rezoning or plan approval that may never comeNo rezoning required, permit stream already exists
Unit count is a guess from a concept drawingUnit count is set by lot size, frontage and transit distance
Timeline depends on a future political decisionTimeline depends on permit review and construction
Buyer carries the entitlement riskSeller’s price has to survive a real proforma

That table is the whole argument. Nothing in the right column moved on July 28. Everything in the left column did.

This is where investors get themselves into trouble, so it is worth being blunt. An R1-1 address is not a fourplex. It is permission to try.

Vancouver’s R1-1 zone allows 3 to 6 strata units, or up to 8 secured rental units, on a single lot. Which end of that range you actually reach depends on lot area, frontage, and whether you sit within 400 metres of frequent transit. Provincially, Bill 44’s SSMUH floors work the same way: 3 units on lots up to 280 m², 4 units on larger lots, and 6 units on lots larger than 280 m² that sit within 400 metres of frequent transit.

Then the site itself has an opinion. A protected tree in the wrong spot can reshape the building envelope. Peat and organic soils in parts of south Vancouver can add real money to the foundation. Servicing capacity, lane access, and grade all bite before a single unit is sold. And city fees are not a rounding error, as our breakdown of Vancouver multiplex fees shows.

Legal density tells you the ceiling. It does not tell you whether the project clears its cost of capital.

Comparison graphic contrasting a lot priced on hoped-for apartment zoning against a lot priced on R1-1 zoning in force, showing rezoning risk, unit count basis, timeline driver and who carries entitlement risk

Where the development capital goes now

Had the Villages Plan passed, it would have opened thousands of potential low-rise apartment sites and created a second place for small and mid-sized development capital to go. That destination is closed for now, and the two products were never interchangeable anyway.

Four to six storey apartment projectR1-1 multiplex
Usually needs land assembly across multiple lotsOne lot, one owner
Rezoning or plan approval requiredBy-right under existing zoning
Larger equity cheque and construction financingFinancing sized to a small building
Longer approval and construction timelineShorter, and the permit stream is established
Institutional or syndicated capitalOwner, family, or small partnership capital

Bar chart comparing Vancouver development permit review times for multi-family and mid-rise homes, 18.1 months in 2023 against 9.8 months in 2025, a 46 percent improvement, alongside 600-plus tracked Vancouver multiplex applications

Meanwhile the multiplex path kept getting more usable. On June 9, 2026, the City reported that development permit processing for multi-family and mid-rise homes, multiplexes included, fell 46 percent, from 18.1 months in 2023 to 9.8 months in 2025, and that its streamlined multiplex stream cut multiplex permit processing time in half. VanPlex is currently tracking more than 600 Vancouver multiplex applications through our own permit monitoring.

Not all of those will finish, and plenty will not return enough to justify the risk. But that is a volume number, and volume is what tells you a policy has moved from debate into construction.

One caution worth naming: Council has already asked staff to revisit the multiplex rules. Motion 9, approved May 20, 2026, directs an expedited review of R1-1 covering massing, setbacks, and tree canopy. Projects permitting now are reviewed under today’s rules. Marginal lots whose math only works at the maximum envelope carry more risk in 2027 than they do this year.

How to underwrite a Vancouver lot this month

Nothing here says every R1-1 lot is a good buy. It says the basis for the argument changed, and the discipline has to come from you.

  1. Underwrite the zoning in force. Price the units R1-1 actually permits on that specific lot, at today’s construction cost and today’s selling or rental values. If it only works at eight storeys, it does not work.
  2. Make the seller’s expectation explicit. If an asking price assumes apartment potential, say so out loud and ask what supports it. After July 28 the answer on those 13,260 parcels is nothing.
  3. Test the site before the spreadsheet. Frontage, lot area, transit distance, trees, soils, and servicing decide the unit count. Run those first, then build the proforma.
  4. Match your capital to the real timeline. Permit review plus construction, not the optimistic version. Faster than 2023 is not fast.
  5. Assemble the team before the site. Designers and builders who have finished multiplexes, and cost controls that hold, are what separate a legal project from a profitable one. Execution, not the lot, decides the return.

For the political story behind the vote and what it means for homeowners specifically, see our earlier piece on why the Villages Plan rejection leaves your multiplex untouched.

Common questions

Does the Villages Plan rejection change my R1-1 multiplex rights? No. R1-1 was enacted October 17, 2023 and was not part of the Villages package. It still allows 3 to 6 strata units, or up to 8 secured rental units, on a single lot.

Could the Villages Plan come back? A future Council could revive the concept, but it would need a new plan, a new public hearing, and new zoning. Nothing about the current framework depends on that happening, and nothing you underwrite today should either.

My lot was inside one of the 17 village areas. What now? Your existing zoning applies, as it did before the plan was proposed. In most cases that is R1-1, so the multiplex path is the one to model.

What survived from the July 28 meeting? Space Efficient Stairs. Single-exit stairwell layouts are now allowed in 4 to 6 storey residential buildings in zones where that height was already permitted, alongside floor space ratio increases in R-3 districts.

Summary card showing the Vancouver Villages Plan rejected on July 28, 2026 by a 10 to 1 Council vote, 13,260 parcels that will not be upzoned, and 3 to 6 units still allowed under R1-1, with the line underwrite the zoning you have, not the one that is coming

See what your lot allows under the rules in force

If you own a Vancouver house lot, or you are pricing one, the useful number is not what a plan might have allowed. It is what R1-1 permits on your address and what the build costs. Run a PlexRank screen on the address and you get unit count, cost, and return under the zoning that exists today.

Investor Intelligence Principle #5: when future density is delayed, value concentrates in what is already legal, financeable, and buildable. Underwrite the zoning you have.


Author: David Babakaiff, Co-Founder of VanPlex PlexRank™ | Profit with Multiplex

Sources:

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David Babakaiff

David Babakaiff

Co-Founder, VanPlex | 25+ Years BC Construction

David Babakaiff is Co-Founder of VanPlex with 25+ years scaling BC construction. He led Alair Homes Vancouver to the 2024 HAVAN Award for Best Multiplex Unit in the GVRD. VanPlex’s PlexRank™ algorithm scores residential parcels across BC for multiplex conversion potential under Bill 44.

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